Thursday, November 16, 2006

More Drive-by Blogging

Sorry, but this weekend's preparations have me busy. Look to this post to be updated, as well as the previous post with the Easter egg funnies. Here's some of what I think are of interest:

The Myths of '06 by Rich Lowry. These two quotes, in particular, I found of interest:
Republican losses were in keeping with typical setbacks for a party holding the White House in the sixth year of a presidency. [myth] Conservatives reassure themselves that the "six-year itch" has cost the party in power roughly 30 seats on average since World War II, so this year's losses aren't remarkable. But as liberal blogger Kevin Drum points out, most of the big "itches" came prior to the past 20 years when gerrymandering got more sophisticated. Reagan lost only five seats in his sixth year, and Clinton gained five (although he had already suffered a wipeout in 1994). For Democrats to win 29 seats despite all the advantages of incumbency enjoyed by the GOP is a big deal.
The following isn't new to me, as I've heard Michael Medved talk about it; but I wasn't sure about a source for his information, before:
President Bush now must give up on the Iraq War [myth]. The rebuke to Bush was unquestionably an expression of voters' frustration with the progress of the war, but they are not ready to give up yet. According to pollster Whit Ayers, less than one-third of voters favor withdrawal. A late-October New York Times poll found that 55 percent of the public favors sending more troops to Iraq, a position now endorsed by the paper's liberal editorial board. Bush still has a window to take decisive action to reverse the downward slide in Iraq.
It seems to reflect similar feelings and myths regarding Vietnam, where Americans dissatisified with the war didn't mean they wanted withdrawal; but to prosecute a more aggressive war.

Jonah Goldberg reports what Tom Elia considers an election myth of the left:
Over at the Huffington Post, EJ Eskow writes,
An hour of vote tabulation reveals a stunning fact: Democrats won the popular vote for the Senate by an overwhelming 12.6% margin - 55%/42.4%.
What Eskow either forgets, or neglects to point out, is that 33 Senate seats are up for election every two years, and that among this year's seats were three in California, New York, and Massachusetts -- seats that Senators Feinstein, Clinton, and Kennedy won by about 4 million votes, most of the Dems' 6.6 million vote margin of victory in the aggregate US Senate vote.

I wonder if this newly minted mandate myth will have the same staying power of that never-realized, but often repeated, $5.8 trillion federal surplus we had at the end of the Clinton Administration?
Hugh Hewitt had a great interview with Minority Leader, Mitch McConnell, yesterday. Audio. Transcript.
MM: I will remind your listeners and your readers that it takes 60 votes to do just about everything in the Senate. 49 is the most robust minority. Nothing will leave the Senate that doesn't have our imprint. We'll either stop it if we think it's bad for America, or shape it, hopefully right of center. So the minority leader's job is actually a lot easier. When you're the minority leader, you're looking for 41 votes. When you're the majority leader, you're looking for 60. So Senator Reid can expect all of the cooperation that he extended us in similar circumstances. I think that, coupled with the potential for presidential vetoes, should reassure everyone that we're certainly not going to be run over. We didn't have a good election day, but 51-49 is pretty darned close, and we' know, we've had, Hugh, close Senates in recent years. It was 50-50 in 2000, and then Jeffords went over to the Democrats, and we were down 51-49 for 18 months. And then, back up 51-49 for two years, and then 55-45 for two years, and now 51-49 down. I think the message is that American politics these days is very, very tight. Close.

HH: Well, I can't tell you how wonderful that is to hear you say that they'll get exactly what they gave, Senator McConnell. You have a reputation for tenaciousness earned during the campaign finance reform debates.
Hugh Hewitt considers this to be a key excerpt from the interview:
HH: Senator McConnell, what I would love to hear you or the minority whip, Lott, or someone in leadership say over and over again is that if obstruction is the rule of Senator Leahy's Judiciary Committee, especially as to Supreme Court justices, the next Democratic president, may it be decades away, but when the next Democratic president comes along, there will be payback.

MM: Well, sure. I mean, these precedents that are started in the Senate are almost never stopped. We were able to get the filibuster genie back in the bottle. As you know, Summer a year ago, we were able to get Janice Rogers Brown and William Pryor and Priscilla Owen, who had become kind of poster children for the left, we got them all confirmed, not to mention two solid Supreme Court nominees. So I think we've pushed them back on the filibuster. Now the filibuster is considered something that would be done only on rare circumstances. It had become routine. So we'll see whether they honor the most recent precedent. If they don't, they're going to have a lot of problems moving anything on the floor.
Read or listen to the rest.

Good and bad news for House conservatives by Mike Bober.

Sorry for not making my rounds, all but sporadically this week. I'm mostly running drive-bys to your respective blogs. If you have something of particular import, link it in the comments section. I'll check it out.

Things should be less hectic after Sunday.


Blogger Little Miss Chatterbox said...

I don't agree with Lowry's first myth.

But I was encouraged to see Hewitt's interview with McConnell. I have always liked him.

And did you know this post got reposted like 5 times?

Thursday, November 16, 2006 1:29:00 PM  
Blogger The WordSmith from Nantucket said...

I don't agree with Lowry's first myth.

Heheh...which is why I posted it here. Because I've been hearing the same meme about the "6 year itch". I haven't cared enough to really delve into it. If anyone has better information on this, let me know. I'd be interested to see anyone counter Rich's argument directly. For now, I'm leaning toward his analysis, because he's countered what I've heard from the right.

But again, I haven't thought deeply on it. Only a passing thought.

And did you know this post got reposted like 5 times?

Thanks. Maybe it's just me, but blogger's been having problems right now.

In fact, I'm adding in something I forgot to add into my post...if blogger will allow me.

Thursday, November 16, 2006 1:55:00 PM  
Blogger RoxieAmerica said...

I do not know about the first myth. I do know that NP has a serious anti-Iraq agenda, and I believe that could result in far more damage to the nation. Before I start screaming, I'll see what the Iraq study group proposes. NP did lose o her support of Murtha, so she hasn't the power she was thinking she had.

Thursday, November 16, 2006 5:48:00 PM  
Blogger Gayle said...

Hi Wordsmith. Don't worry about not visiting as often; we do have to remember from time to time that we have lives outside of blogging! :)

Excellent post and points. I also read your link to "Good News and Bad News for House Conservatives." I honestly think the news is more good than bad. Not only can the Dems not get along with us, they can't get on the same page amongst themselves, and I'm so glad Pelosi's nomination for Murtha was shot down! She acts like she's in the Oval Office instead of being Speaker of the House. The high-handed attitude and smugness of Pelosi and the far left is hysterical. They'll be showing everyone who they really are even sooner than I could have hoped for, and if the American public was dismayed at corruption in the Republican party, just wait. We don't hold a candle to corruption compaired to them.

Friday, November 17, 2006 6:18:00 AM  
Blogger airforcewife said...

Bingo on the difference between fixing the way the war is being waged vs. running away and acting like it's better for us to lose.

For some reason no one ever acts like that's an option.

Saturday, November 18, 2006 9:18:00 PM  
Blogger Mike's America said...

Early Thanksgiving greetings Wordsmith!

It's going to be a slow blogging week, and you've been doing such a great job of posting these past critcial weeks that I won't bust you for taking a breather.

I do like Mitch McConnell. And I hope he means it when he says the GOP minority won't be a pushover. But there is one disadvantage our side has: we want everyone to like us so darn much that we often won't take the strong measures our opponents do.

I hope that's not the case this time.

Tuesday, November 21, 2006 9:13:00 AM  
Anonymous Anna said...

Hectic has become my middle name I think! The Reps screwed up and have been for a while now. Maybe their conservative roots will be found once again now?

Tuesday, November 21, 2006 1:30:00 PM  
Blogger yankeemom said...

Have a wonderful Thanksgiving! See ya on the other side of the pie ~

Wednesday, November 22, 2006 9:33:00 AM  

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